Climate Drivers

Seasonal forecasts provide a long-range outlook of changes in the Earth system over periods of a few weeks or months, as a result of predictable changes in some of the slow-varying components of the system -Copernicus

Climate Anomalies

By analysing the long term historical records we can determine what the climate was like when we had similar conditions in the past.

soiphases

April 2024

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ONI

April 2024

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MEI

March 2024

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NINO12

April 2024

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NINO3

April 2024

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NINO34

April 2024

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NINO4

April 2024

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IOD

April 2024

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NAO

April 2024

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Hindcast Skill

For each climate driver the skill is calculated by comparing the modelled hindcasts with the observed values for the same region and season using the gridded climate data. For the current set of models the Skill is calculated using the hindcast values from 1993-2016.

soiphases

April 2024

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ONI

April 2024

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MEI

March 2024

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NINO12

April 2024

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NINO3

April 2024

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NINO34

April 2024

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NINO4

April 2024

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IOD

April 2024

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NAO

April 2024

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