Applying seasonal climate forecasting and innovative insurance solutions to climate risk management in the agriculture sector in SE Asia

Implementing Partners:

Project Details

Overall aim of the project

This project will develop climate risk management systems, best practices and insurance products that will shield smallholder farmers and businesses engaged in producing coffee, sugar, rice, cassava, rubber, dairy, and grazing across the agricultural value chain in key SE Asia countries from physical and financial disaster associated with climate change

The project is jointly implemented by

World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) Geneva, Switzerland; The University of Southern Queensland, (USQ) Toowoomba, Australia; International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) Hanoi, Vietnam

Target groups

Smallholder farmers and businesses engaged in the coffee, sugar, rice, cassava, rubber, maize, associated crops and fruits, and grazing industries across the value chain from physical and financial disaster associated with climate change


April 2018 – March 2022

Focus area

Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar (Burma), Vietnam

Funds available

The project is funded with around 7.9 million Euros by the International Climate Initiative (IKI) of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU)


Probabilistic yield forecasting of robusta coffee at the farm scale using agroclimatic and remote sensing derived indices
Louis Kouadio, Vivekananda M. Byrareddy, Alidou Sawadogo, Nathaniel K. Newlands (2021)
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 306, 108449
Link to Publication

Coping with drought: Lessons learned from robusta coffee growers in Vietnam
Vivekananda Byrareddy, Louis Kouadio, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Jarrod Kath, Roger Stone (2021)
Climate Services 22, 100229
Link to Publication

Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam
Louis Kouadio, PhilippeTixier, Vivekananda Byrareddy, Torben Marcussen, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Bruno Rapidel Roger Stone (2021)
Ecological Modelling Volume 443, 1, 109469
Link to Publication

Not so robust: Robusta coffee production is highly sensitive to temperature
Jarrod Kath, Vivekananda Mittahalli Byrareddy, Alessandro Craparo, Thong Nguyen-Huy, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Loc Cao, Laurent Bossolasco (2020)
Global Change Biology
Link to Publication

Win-win: Improved irrigation management saves water and increases yield for robusta coffee farms in Vietnam
Vivekananda Byrareddy, Louis Kouadio, Jarrod Kath, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Vahid Rafiei, Michael Scobie, Roger Stone (2020)
Agricultural Water Management 241, 106350
Link to Publication

Feedback modelling of the impacts of drought: a case study in coffee production systems in Viet Nam
Yen Hoang Pham, Kathryn Reardon-Smith, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Ravinesh Duo (2020)
Climate Risk Management Volume 30, 100255
Link to Publication

Temperature and rainfall impacts on robusta coffee bean characteristics
Jarrod Kath, Vivekananda Byrareddy, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Alessandro Craparo, Mario Porcel (2021)
Climate Risk Management
Link to Publication

Creating positive synergies between risk management and transfer to accelerate agricultural climate resilience
Mushtaq, S., Kath, J., Stone, R. C., Henry, R., Läderach, P., Reardon-Smith, K., Cobon, C., Marcussen, T., Cliffe, N., Kristiansen, P., Pischke, F. (2020)
Climatic Change.
Link to Publication

Agricultural climate risk management and global food security: Recent progress in South-East Asia
Louis Kouadio, Eric Rahn. (2020)
In: Vyacheslav Lyubchich et al. (Eds.) ‘Evaluating Climate Change Impacts’. Chapter 16. Boca Raton: Chapman and Hall/CRC; pp. 347-362
Link to Publication

The impact of climate change and variability on coffee production: A systematic review
Yen Hoang Pham, Kathryn Reardon-Smith, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Geoff Cockfield (2019)
Climatic Change.
Link to Publication

Sustainable Production of Robusta Coffee under a Changing Climate: A 10-Year Monitoring of Fertilizer Management in Coffee Farms in Vietnam and Indonesia
Byrareddy, V.; Kouadio, L.; Mushtaq, S.; Stone, R. (2019)
Agronomy, 9, 499
Link to Publication

Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties
Louis Kouadio, Ravinesh Deo, Vivekananda Byrareddy, Jan F Adamowski, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Van Phuong Nguyen (2018)
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 155 324–338
Link to Publication


Project Opening

Hanoi - October 2018